Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-16 16:16 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 2–10 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Previsão 56.58%1.77odd justa
EV -0.416%
Vantagem -0.236%
Kelly -0.547%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%56.45%56.56%57.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.681.7662.50%59.29%59.52%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 43.42%2.30odd justa
EV -0.138%
Vantagem -0.060%
Kelly -0.106%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.17%43.55%43.44%45.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.40%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 56.58%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 43.42%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.303. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.300, com valor esperado de -0.138%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -0.416%E -0.236%K -0.547%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -3.61%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.55%E -0.889%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.88%E -0.830%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.55%E -0.889%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-16 16:10
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:14
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 15:59
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.787%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -1.88%E -0.830%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 16:14
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -3.61%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 16:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.24%E -1.90%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.138%E -0.060%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 05:05
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.24%E -1.90%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.61%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 14:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.05%E -1.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:09
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:09
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 16:14
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 16:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 18:04
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.61%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:10
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:04
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.01%E -0.442%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 21:14
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.573%E -0.250%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.05%E -1.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 15:54
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:49
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.21%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.21%E -4.39%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.18%E -1.42%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:49
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -5.78%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-08-16 16:14
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-16 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-16 16:00
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-08-16 16:15
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%2.1%2026-08-16 16:15
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-08-16 16:15