La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-06-16 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 3–2 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 51.35%1.95momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.54%51.45%51.35%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.851.841.9155.56%54.18%54.35%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 48.65%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.272%
Ventaja -0.133%
Kelly -0.259%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.55%48.65%49.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.66%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:20
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:20
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.92%E -1.00%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:20
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.24%E -0.613%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 23:30
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.24%E -0.613%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 23:30
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.94%E -1.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.73%E -0.857%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-16 23:30
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.46%E -1.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 20:20
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.272%E -0.133%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 05:20
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 17:50
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 20:30
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 20:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 22:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:17
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:20
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:20
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.97%E -2.12%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 23:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.73%E -0.857%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 22:20
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 13:59
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:20
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.00%E -2.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 20:00
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 15:49
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:49
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.65%E -2.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.62%E -2.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 20:20
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -8.54%E -4.54%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 23:40
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -5.51%E -3.00%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -8.54%E -4.54%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 23:40
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:19
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 22:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.03%E -3.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.08%E -3.71%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 21:20
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.68%E -1.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 22:20
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:20
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:20
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.54%E -3.59%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.60%E -3.44%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 20:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.70%E -1.35%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.16%E -2.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.14%E -2.63%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 23:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.57%E -4.20%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.57%E -3.98%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%0.4%2026-06-16 23:40
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-06-16 23:30
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-16 19:50
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-16 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-06-16 23:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-16 23:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-16 23:40