默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-08-10 23:46 UTC

最终结果: St. Louis Cardinals 5–6 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Louis Cardinals (主队)

预测 47.93%2.09公平赔率
EV -1.26%
优势 -0.610%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
46.75%47.94%47.84%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.992.002.0652.63%50.26%50.00%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 52.07%1.92公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.844%
Kelly -1.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
51.32%52.06%52.16%53.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.831.831.8956.50%54.56%54.64%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St. Louis Cardinals (主队):47.93%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):52.07%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.06,期望值为-1.26%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.26%E -0.610%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:20
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.26%E -0.610%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.16%E -1.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:44
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.12%E -1.13%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:44
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.12%E -1.13%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.74%E -0.846%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.21%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.12%E -1.13%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-10 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.21%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.21%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.21%E -1.09%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 22:45
Caesars🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.60%E -0.844%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 21:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 21:59
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:44
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 14:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:09
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 21:30
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 14:39
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 23:44
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 14:40
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:44
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.61%E -2.32%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 23:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:45
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 20:45
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 23:43
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.09%E -2.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 23:34
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:00
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 22:00
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.76%E -3.18%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -5.76%E -3.18%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 23:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.97%E -4.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.24%E -2.88%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 23:44
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.32%E -4.11%K -9.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 23:38
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.93%E -4.70%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 23:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-08-10 23:45
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-10 19:40
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-10 13:20
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-10 23:45
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-08-10 23:45
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-08-10 22:30
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-08-10 23:45
BetOpenly◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-08-10 23:44