La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-05-06 17:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 49.71%2.01momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%49.62%49.61%51.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.912.0554.05%52.06%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 50.29%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.429%
Ventaja -0.216%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.94%50.38%50.39%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.911.9855.56%52.59%52.36%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.91%E +0.931%K +1.82%G +0.035%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.48%E -5.27%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:13
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.07%E -0.540%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:15
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.07%E -0.540%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:15
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.07%E -0.540%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:15
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.57%E -0.794%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:10
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.57%E -0.794%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.94%E -1.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 17:13
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.94%E -0.993%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 16:40
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 17:14
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:04
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.06%E -1.57%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 17:14
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.429%E -0.216%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.94%E -1.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.56%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 17:14
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.94%E -1.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 17:15
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 16:49
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 17:10
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.06%E -2.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:05
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:05
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.55%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.46%E -2.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:29
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:29
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 05:00
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:34
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 15:35
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:10
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.46%E -2.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:10
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.46%E -2.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 17:10
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:14
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:15
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.94%E -0.993%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 16:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 15:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.46%E -3.47%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 17:15
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.55%E -2.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.97%E -3.77%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 17:14
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.94%E -1.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 17:00
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:59
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.48%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:54
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 14:49
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.03%E -4.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.94%E -1.52%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-06 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-06 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-06 17:15
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-05-06 17:15
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-06 17:15
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-06 17:05
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-05-06 17:15
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-06 17:14
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-05-06 17:15
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%3.5%2026-05-06 17:15