A Escola das Odds

St. Louis Cardinals v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-06-28 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 53.18%1.88odd justa
EV -0.561%
Vantagem -0.300%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.95%53.21%53.25%53.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.801.801.8757.47%55.56%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 46.82%2.14odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.795%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%46.79%46.75%48.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.042.1051.28%49.10%49.02%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.561%E -0.300%K -0.645%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:50
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.09%E -0.588%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 18:00
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-28 18:07
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 16:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.61%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:59
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-28 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:09
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 17:10
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.62%E -0.878%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:09
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-28 18:10
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.67%E -0.795%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 15:18
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 03:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:40
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:39
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:39
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:39
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 15:39
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:39
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:40
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:40
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:40
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:39
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 16:09
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:29
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 15:49
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:49
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:59
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:29
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 15:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:29
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:40
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:39
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.42%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:40
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 15:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.95%E -2.44%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.95%E -2.44%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 15:39
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 15:39
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.35%E -3.18%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 15:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 15:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.47%E -4.30%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.76%E -3.94%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-06-28 18:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-06-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-28 18:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-28 15:39
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-28 15:39
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-06-28 18:10
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-28 17:30
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-06-28 18:10