L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 19:01 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 49.88%2.00cote équitable
EV -0.236%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.236%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.04%49.74%53.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.911.912.0056.50%52.36%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.12%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.236%
Avantage +0.118%
Kelly +0.236%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.95%49.96%50.26%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.28%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -11.71%E -6.62%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +0.236%E +0.118%K +0.236%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-16 13:04
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.266%E -0.133%K -0.268%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 16:09
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 18:45
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.73%E -1.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 17:00
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.27%E -1.16%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 17:55
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.77%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 15:54
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 18:45
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.23%E -0.623%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 18:45
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.73%E -0.879%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.27%E -1.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 17:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.22%E -3.31%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.77%E -1.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.236%E -0.118%K -0.236%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.236%E -0.118%K -0.236%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 18:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:45
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:45
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 17:55
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.72%E -3.03%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:20
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.27%E -2.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 18:55
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.78%E -2.51%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:45
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.23%E -1.66%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 18:55
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:55
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.23%E -2.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.78%E -3.07%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 18:49
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 17:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.73%E -2.47%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 18:50
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.36%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.73%E -1.40%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.28%E -3.94%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -9.21%E -5.06%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -9.79%E -5.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 18:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-05-16 18:55
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%0.8%2026-05-16 18:55
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 18:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-16 18:10
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.87%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.13%2.8%2026-05-16 18:50