Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-06-07 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 5–3 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 57.71%1.73odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.772%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.56%57.75%57.69%59.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.7162.50%60.64%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 42.29%2.36odd justa
EV +0.657%
Vantagem +0.276%
Kelly +0.476%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.80%42.25%42.31%43.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.272.3846.51%43.95%44.05%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 57.71%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 42.29%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.657%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.657%E +0.276%K +0.476%G +0.003%3.0%2026-06-07 17:59
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.612%E -0.260%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.47%E -1.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-07 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.94%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.94%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 18:00
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.46%E -0.626%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:59
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:59
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.811%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 17:59
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.30%E -0.997%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-07 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.32%E -0.772%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 15:09
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-07 15:59
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 15:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.73%E -1.19%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 15:59
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.32%E -0.772%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.21%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.21%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 16:08
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.00%E -1.76%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 18:09
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.47%E -1.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-07 15:59
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 15:08
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 17:59
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 17:49
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.94%E -3.64%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-07 15:59
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 17:49
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.35%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-07 17:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.21%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 15:49
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.21%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.21%E -2.53%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.11%E -2.75%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 17:49
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.47%E -1.46%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 17:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.05%E -1.82%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 16:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.63%E -2.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.96%E -3.16%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.80%E -3.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.07%E -4.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 18:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-06-07 18:00
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-07 17:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-07 17:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-07 18:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-07 15:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-07 18:09
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-06-07 18:09