Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-06 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6–5 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 53.52%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.39%53.62%53.52%55.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.791.791.8357.80%55.94%55.87%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 46.48%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.061%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.38%46.48%47.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.052.052.1550.76%48.79%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 53.52%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 46.48%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.151. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.150, con un valor esperado de -0.061%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-06 08:39
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 17:19
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 13:49
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:49
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:20
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 08:38
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:39
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 03:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 23:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:48
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.43%E -4.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 06:19
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:10
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 11:09
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 11:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 09:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 14:39
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 17:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 15:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.88%E -3.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.061%E -0.028%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 13:47
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.88%E -3.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -7.50%E -3.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 17:48
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 12:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-06 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-06 18:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-06 17:00
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-06 17:59
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-06 17:40