La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-06 18:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6–5 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 53.52%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.39%53.62%53.52%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.791.791.8357.80%55.94%55.87%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 46.48%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.061%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.38%46.48%47.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.052.052.1550.76%48.79%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-06 08:39
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 17:59
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.06%E -1.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 17:19
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 13:49
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 13:49
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:49
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 13:49
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.92%E -0.910%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:19
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.60%E -1.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:20
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.46%E -0.686%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.13%E -1.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.10%E -3.02%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 17:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 08:38
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:39
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 01:29
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 03:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 15:50
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:20
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.67%E -2.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:19
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 23:49
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.78%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:48
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 17:39
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -4.21%E -2.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.43%E -4.28%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 17:19
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 06:19
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 01:29
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:09
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 11:09
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 15:50
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.64%E -2.78%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.74%E -2.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 11:09
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 09:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.31%E -1.59%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 14:39
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 15:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:09
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 08:39
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.28%E -2.98%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 17:50
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.81%E -3.30%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-06 17:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 18:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 15:49
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.35%E -3.63%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.03%E -3.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.88%E -3.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.061%E -0.028%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 13:47
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -6.88%E -3.95%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.65%EV -7.50%E -3.77%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-06 17:48
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.39%E -1.14%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.42%E -4.29%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.71%E -2.30%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 12:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-06 18:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-06 18:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-06 17:00
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-06 17:59
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-06 17:40