L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Cincinnati Reds

2026-07-26 18:16 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 54.97%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.66%54.94%54.94%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.741.7859.52%57.48%57.47%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.03%2.22cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.422%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.06%45.06%46.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.27%47.17%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.16%E -1.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 23:35
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.16%E -1.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 22:35
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.929%E -0.422%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 20:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.83%E -0.839%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 18:40
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.83%E -0.839%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 18:40
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.83%E -0.839%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:50
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.71%E -1.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 23:55
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.26%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:35
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.26%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.78%E -3.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.26%E -1.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.78%E -3.28%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:59
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.63%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:20
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -4.98%E -2.36%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 18:45
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:59
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 18:40
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:19
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 21:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 21:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.63%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 01:10
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.63%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 01:09
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.63%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 01:09
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.63%E -1.70%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 01:09
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.08%E -1.92%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:09
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 01:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.36%E -2.50%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 22:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:10
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:09
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.53%E -2.14%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 01:09
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.98%E -2.36%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 23:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:40
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:40
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:45
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 18:45
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 20:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 00:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.91%E -2.84%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 01:35
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.46%E -3.17%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -5.88%E -2.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 20:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.18%E -1.48%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 22:45
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.00%E -3.51%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.59%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:40
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.55%E -3.86%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.33%E -3.04%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:09
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.10%E -4.20%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.68%E -3.75%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 00:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.65%E -4.56%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.94%E -4.97%K -9.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-07-26 00:24
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 18:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-25 22:40
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-07-26 01:45
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-07-25 23:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-07-25 22:25