L’École des cotes

St. Louis Cardinals v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 18:16 UTC

Score final : St. Louis Cardinals 3–9 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 48.44%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.706%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.673%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.37%48.36%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.27%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.56%1.94cote équitable
EV -0.481%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.518%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%51.63%51.64%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.841.831.9355.56%54.35%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.706%E -0.345%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-12 17:49
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -0.706%E -0.345%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 18:05
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.706%E -0.345%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:40
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.67%E -0.825%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 18:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:04
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 18:10
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 18:10
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 18:05
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 18:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 17:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:44
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:50
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 18:05
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 20:20
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.61%E -1.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:14
Everygame1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.481%E -0.249%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 18:14
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:10
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:45
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 17:44
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 18:12
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 18:05
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 18:15
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:05
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.58%E -2.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.18%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.07%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 18:04
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:49
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:44
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 18:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 18:15
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.00%E -3.65%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 18:15
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.97%E -4.20%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-12 18:15
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-04-12 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-04-12 18:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-12 18:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-12 18:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-04-12 18:15
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-04-12 18:15
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-04-12 18:15
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%3.0%2026-04-12 18:14