Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-26 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 7–8 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 49.25%2.03odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.506%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.23%49.34%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.942.0153.48%51.58%51.55%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 50.75%1.97odd justa
EV -0.522%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.543%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.77%50.66%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9655.56%53.18%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 49.25%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 50.75%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.96, com valor esperado de -0.522%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.02%E -0.506%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 23:39
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.506%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.51%E -0.754%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -2.00%E -1.01%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -1.54%E -0.792%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 21:34
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.49%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 23:16
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.49%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.49%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 18:34
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.49%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.49%E -1.26%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 18:34
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.99%E -1.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 18:34
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.99%E -1.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 20:14
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.522%E -0.266%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 21:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 22:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.528%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 22:09
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-26 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 21:49
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 21:59
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 21:34
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:34
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:44
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 23:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 23:44
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:34
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:34
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.46%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:59
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:19
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:19
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:19
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.07%E -2.16%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:18
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 06:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 23:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 21:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 21:24
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.57%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 13:47
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 22:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 23:32
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.43%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.64%E -4.80%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 23:16
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.13%E -4.49%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 21:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-26 23:10
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-26 23:34
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-26 18:09
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-26 14:49
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-26 23:44
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-26 21:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%1.3%2026-08-26 23:29
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%2.6%2026-08-26 23:44