La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-07-23 21:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 6–10 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 52.73%1.90momio equitativo
EV +0.712%
Ventaja +0.373%
Kelly +0.783%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.72%52.66%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.781.801.91100.00%56.14%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 47.27%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.258%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%47.28%47.34%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.002.002.042.11100.00%50.11%49.02%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.712%E +0.373%K +0.783%G +0.006%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.71%E -5.08%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:30
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.870%E -0.463%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 20:49
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -0.870%E -0.463%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-23 21:04
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.45%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.68%E -0.806%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-23 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.45%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.45%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 20:40
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.258%E -0.122%K -0.233%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-23 21:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-23 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-23 21:15
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-23 21:14
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 21:14
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-23 21:10
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 20:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.51%E -1.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 20:55
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-23 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-23 21:14
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 21:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 21:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 21:15
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.56%E -2.52%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.04%E -1.99%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 21:04
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.56%E -2.52%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 21:05
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 21:00
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-23 20:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:05
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:04
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 21:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 20:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 21:14
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 21:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 20:45
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 21:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 20:45
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 21:15
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 20:44
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 20:40
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:04
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:05
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.82%E -4.01%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.29%E -4.28%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.15%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.15%E -1.04%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 20:45
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.57%E -1.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.62%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.46%E -2.73%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 21:10
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 21:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:55
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:55
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.62%E -1.27%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 20:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.731%E -0.348%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 21:00
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 20:55
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 20:55
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.09%E -1.51%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.35%E -3.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 21:09
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.51%E -2.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 21:00
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -47.27%E -47.27%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -52.73%E -52.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-23 21:15
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -47.27%E -47.27%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -52.73%E -52.73%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-23 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-23 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-07-23 21:15
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-07-23 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-23 21:15
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-23 21:10
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-23 21:15
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-07-23 20:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-23 21:10
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%4.2%2026-07-23 19:35