Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-06-24 23:46 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 4–9 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 51.84%1.93momio equitativo
EV -0.984%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.39%51.83%51.75%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.04%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 48.16%2.08momio equitativo
EV -0.792%
Ventaja -0.384%
Kelly -0.747%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.17%48.25%49.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.971.982.0652.36%50.65%50.51%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 51.84%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 48.16%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.06, con un valor esperado de -0.792%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.984%E -0.515%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.50%E -0.791%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-24 23:40
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.50%E -0.791%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 23:29
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.02%E -1.07%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -5.13%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 05:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 05:50
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.24%E -1.10%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-24 05:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-24 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.06%E -1.64%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:40
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.792%E -0.384%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 03:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 19:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 19:30
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 19:20
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 19:29
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.09%E -2.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-24 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.61%E -2.51%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 22:00
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 00:10
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 12:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 05:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:40
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.64%E -2.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 02:40
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.09%E -3.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.57%E -3.39%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 21:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 21:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 03:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.69%E -3.71%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.13%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.21%E -4.03%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 23:17
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-24 23:40
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-06-24 23:20
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-06-24 22:40
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-24 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-24 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-24 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-06-24 23:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-24 23:00
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-24 20:30
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-06-24 23:10