Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-09-09 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–2 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 58.16%1.72odd justa
EV -0.541%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.763%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.14%58.06%59.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.641.7164.10%60.73%60.98%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 41.84%2.39odd justa
EV -0.846%
Vantagem -0.357%
Kelly -0.618%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.81%41.86%41.94%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.292.3745.45%43.84%43.57%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 58.16%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 41.84%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.71, com valor esperado de -0.541%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.541%E -0.317%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -0.541%E -0.317%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -0.541%E -0.317%K -0.763%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 17:05
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.12%E -0.661%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -4.19%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-09 17:10
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 13:22
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.29%E -1.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.68%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:10
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.29%E -1.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-09 17:35
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.846%E -0.357%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 17:14
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 11:29
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 11:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 07:10
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.87%E -1.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 10:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.45%E -2.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.19%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.45%E -2.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.45%E -2.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -7.12%E -3.21%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 14:10
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 10:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:19
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.03%E -2.44%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.94%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 07:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.61%E -2.81%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.68%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 19:59
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.94%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:50
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.19%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 08:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.19%E -3.19%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.28%E -2.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:45
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.68%E -0.716%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-09 17:19
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 17:05
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.78%E -3.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.36%E -3.95%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.36%E -3.95%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.61%E -2.02%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.94%E -4.34%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.77%E -1.64%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -9.27%E -5.94%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -6.70%E -3.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-09 17:15
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-09-09 17:05
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-09 12:10
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-09 17:10
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.4%2026-09-09 17:35
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-09-09 17:05