Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-04-19 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–2 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 56.24%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.577%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.69%56.33%56.27%57.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.691.701.7660.98%59.15%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 43.76%2.29momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.16%43.67%43.73%45.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.2547.62%45.53%45.45%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.24%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 43.76%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.76, con un valor esperado de -1.02%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.02%E -0.577%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 19:40
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.02%E -0.577%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 17:35
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.02%E -0.577%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:05
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.58%E -0.902%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.42%E -1.08%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-19 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.58%E -0.902%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.85%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.58%E -0.902%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.58%E -0.902%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.29%E -1.49%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 16:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.14%E -1.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.11%E -3.86%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 18:55
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 16:35
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 19:00
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 14:14
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.36%E -2.97%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.85%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.17%E -1.90%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.61%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.04%E -2.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 18:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.39%E -2.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 19:10
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.95%E -2.93%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.48%E -2.54%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 14:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 20:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.64%E -4.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 20:10
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.73%E -1.70%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.20%E -4.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.92%E -2.75%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.76%E -4.73%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.54%E -0.685%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 15:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-19 20:10
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-19 20:05
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97%1.5%2026-04-19 20:10
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-04-19 20:10
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-04-19 20:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-04-19 20:10