Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-08 01:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

52%

48%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 51.87%1.93momio equitativo

EV -0.936%

Ventaja -0.490%

Kelly -1.03%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.00%51.84%51.93%53.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.741.841.851.9157.47%54.26%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 48.13%2.08momio equitativo

EV -1.33%

Ventaja -0.646%

Kelly -1.26%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

46.48%48.16%48.07%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.881.971.982.0553.19%50.64%50.51%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 51.87%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 48.13%. Para Seattle Mariners (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.93. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.91, con un valor esperado de -0.936%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 23:44
GTbets🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-08-06 23:50
Fliff🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.936%E -0.490%K -1.03%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-06 20:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.45%E -0.766%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 20:05
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.97%E -1.04%K -2.22%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -1.81%E -0.886%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-07 01:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.81%E -0.886%K -1.74%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-07 01:25
BetAnything🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.49%E -1.33%K -2.83%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.10%E -3.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 02:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.01%E -1.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 20:10
FanDuel🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.53%E -1.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-06 20:05
BetRivers🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 21:40
TAB🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-06 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 01:00
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 01:00
DraftKings🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 00:35
BetMGM🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 01:00
Bet Right🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 20:20
Casumo🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
betPARX🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 21:40
Bovada🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-07 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 00:55
Neds🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 00:55
Coolbet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 02:10
SportsBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.05%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.57%E -2.48%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-07 00:01
Betr (AU)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.57%E -2.48%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.18%E -2.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 20:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 23:10
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 01:49
Betway🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-07 01:55
PlayUp🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-06 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 01:15
Betsson🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 01:20
NordicBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.69%E -2.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-07 01:20
TABtouch🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 21:40
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 01:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.09%E -2.78%K -6.13%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-06 23:57
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-07 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 21:40
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 20:20
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.73%E -1.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-06 20:50
Bet Victor🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-06 23:55
betano_uk🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.14%E -3.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-07 00:55
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.33%E -0.646%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-07 02:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.68%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.06%E -4.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -8.20%E -4.63%K -10.65%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.49%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-08-07 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.75%E -5.61%K -13.18%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.51%E -5.06%K -10.80%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-07 00:00

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Polymarket◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.0%	2026-08-06 20:20
Kalshi◎	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.0%	2026-08-07 00:05
Novig◎	1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%	2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%	1.1%	2026-08-07 02:55
ProphetX◎	1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%	2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%	1.1%	2026-08-07 02:45
Matchbook◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%	5.3%	2026-08-07 02:30
Smarkets◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%	1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%	8.2%	2026-08-07 02:50