A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 0–2 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 54.90%1.82odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.657%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.74%54.83%55.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.741.731.8058.82%57.41%57.80%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 45.10%2.22odd justa
EV -0.778%
Vantagem -0.354%
Kelly -0.648%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.58%45.26%45.17%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.19%47.17%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 01:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.18%E -0.657%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.73%E -0.967%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.13%E -0.982%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-16 01:25
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.73%E -0.967%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 01:39
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.68%E -0.771%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:45
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.58%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.58%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.778%E -0.354%K -0.648%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-16 01:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 16:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 14:19
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:50
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -9.35%E -4.65%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 01:40
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -2.13%E -0.982%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 23:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 12:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 16:55
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 01:34
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 15:45
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 15:45
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 15:44
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 01:15
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 01:35
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 23:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 15:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.48%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 01:40
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.48%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:54
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.84%E -2.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 16:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 16:09
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 16:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 16:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 12:15
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:35
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:15
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 01:05
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 12:35
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 12:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 01:39
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 01:40
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 01:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.04%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.96%-0.7%2026-05-16 01:35
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-05-16 01:35
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-15 17:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-15 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-05-16 01:40
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-16 01:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-05-16 01:40