A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-17 23:21 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 3–8 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 57.91%1.73odd justa
EV -0.969%
Vantagem -0.567%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%57.93%57.93%59.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.591.641.651.7162.89%60.84%60.61%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 42.09%2.38odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.466%
Kelly -0.811%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.81%42.07%42.07%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.302.3545.45%43.82%43.48%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -0.969%E -0.567%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 23:15
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.55%E -0.911%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.78%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 22:50
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.94%E -0.831%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 22:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 23:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 22:35
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.52%E -0.648%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 23:19
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.94%E -0.831%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 23:20
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 23:20
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 23:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:15
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:55
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -3.86%E -2.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:14
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:55
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:19
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.72%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 22:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -2.78%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 22:35
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 23:00
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:05
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:05
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 23:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.02%E -3.06%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.60%E -3.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.60%E -3.44%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:20
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.10%E -0.466%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:20
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.36%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 22:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 01:35
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.18%E -3.82%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 23:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 23:20
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 23:20
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.76%E -4.20%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:40
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 23:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.92%E -4.98%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.30%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-17 23:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-17 23:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-17 22:55
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-17 23:20
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-17 23:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 23:10
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-05-17 23:20
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-05-17 23:20