默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-08-26 01:42 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Mariners 4–1 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Mariners (主队)

预测 51.45%1.94公平赔率
EV -0.695%
优势 -0.360%
Kelly -0.747%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.49%51.43%53.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.851.851.9357.14%53.98%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 48.55%2.06公平赔率
EV -0.480%
优势 -0.234%
Kelly -0.457%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
46.67%48.51%48.57%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.891.971.972.0552.91%50.73%50.76%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Mariners (主队):51.45%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):48.55%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.05,期望值为-0.480%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -0.695%E -0.360%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -2.42%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-26 01:35
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.72%E -0.903%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 01:29
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.72%E -0.903%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.42%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.72%E -0.903%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 22:59
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.903%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.24%E -1.18%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:14
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:14
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 23:14
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.94%E -0.958%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:14
BetAnything🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.75%E -1.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 22:58
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.27%E -1.74%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 01:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.480%E -0.234%K -0.457%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 22:58
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 01:33
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 22:59
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 01:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.78%E -2.02%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.30%E -2.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 23:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 00:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.85%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:38
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:03
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.33%E -2.89%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.88%E -1.96%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.33%E -2.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.35%E -3.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.35%E -3.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.35%E -3.49%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.79%E -3.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 01:34
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 00:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.38%E -4.10%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 23:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%EV -7.90%E -4.41%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%EV -7.28%E -3.81%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -7.90%E -4.41%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -8.25%E -4.36%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 01:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.96%E -5.69%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 01:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-08-26 01:35
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-08-26 01:35
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-08-26 01:35
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-26 01:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-08-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-08-26 01:35
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-25 23:25
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-25 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-08-26 01:35