Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels

2026-09-27 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 63.29%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -4.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.30%63.26%64.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.511.5468.97%66.36%66.23%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 36.71%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.879%
Ventaja -0.326%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.94%36.70%36.74%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.60%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Seattle Mariners (Local): 63.29%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 36.71%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.879%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -0.879%E -0.326%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.98%E -0.742%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.98%E -0.742%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 02:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-26 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-26 02:40
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 02:30
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 01:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 01:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 01:00
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:10
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -3.08%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 02:03
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-26 02:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 21:00
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.35%E -0.883%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-25 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.18%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:49
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:49
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:50
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.65%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:55
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.65%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:54
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 02:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:00
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 01:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:35
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 19:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 21:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 02:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 01:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 01:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 01:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-26 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-25 21:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-26 02:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-25 19:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-09-26 02:30
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-09-26 02:45
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%9.7%2026-09-26 00:55
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%11.5%2026-09-26 01:55