Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-07-01 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 8–3 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 62.72%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.10%62.61%62.77%63.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.521.531.5768.03%65.68%65.36%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 37.28%2.68momio equitativo
EV -0.452%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.271%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.32%37.39%37.23%38.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.572.582.6740.82%38.97%38.76%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Mariners (Local): 62.72%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 37.28%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.68. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.67, con un valor esperado de -0.452%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.54%E -0.978%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-30 23:59
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-30 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 12:29
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.16%E -1.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.20%E -0.452%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.20%E -0.452%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 01:39
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 01:19
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.79%E -1.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -0.452%E -0.169%K -0.271%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-30 23:59
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -1.20%E -0.452%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-01 01:19
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.32%E -0.884%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-01 01:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 00:59
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.54%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:19
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.54%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.42%E -2.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.20%E -0.452%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 23:40
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-30 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.81%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 15:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.81%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 12:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 01:19
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 01:19
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-30 13:39
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 12:59
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 01:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.04%E -2.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.81%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 21:29
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.81%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 14:19
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.81%E -1.48%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.67%E -2.24%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -4.55%E -1.78%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:39
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:40
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:38
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.94%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 23:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 03:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 23:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.79%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.55%E -4.40%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-01 01:18
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-30 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-07-01 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-07-01 01:40
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-07-01 01:39
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-30 20:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-30 17:39
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-07-01 01:40
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-07-01 01:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-07-01 01:40