A Escola das Odds

Seattle Mariners v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-05-03 20:11 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 1–4 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 50.88%1.97odd justa
EV -0.779%
Vantagem -0.400%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.94%51.05%52.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.21%53.19%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -0.291%
Vantagem -0.143%
Kelly -0.283%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%49.06%48.95%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.941.942.0352.63%51.52%51.55%49.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.779%E -0.400%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 19:45
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.779%E -0.400%K -0.820%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:15
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:15
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 19:15
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 19:50
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.76%E -0.882%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 20:05
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 20:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 20:04
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 19:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 20:05
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 19:50
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 19:39
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 20:05
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 20:05
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -0.291%E -0.143%K -0.283%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-03 18:20
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 19:50
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 19:39
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-03 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.70%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 19:50
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 19:50
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 19:50
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:40
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:45
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:45
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:35
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:20
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:35
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:35
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 20:04
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.68%E -3.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 20:05
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:35
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 19:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.76%E -0.882%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 18:15
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 19:25
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 19:48
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.24%E -1.64%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 19:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-05-03 20:05
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75%0.0%2026-05-03 19:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%0.3%2026-05-03 20:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-03 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-03 19:15
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-03 20:00
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-05-03 20:00