La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds

Inizio: 2026-07-21 01:42 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 8–0 Cincinnati Reds

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 57.03%1.75quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.67%57.03%57.11%58.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.73%59.88%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.97%2.33quota equa
EV -0.733%
Vantaggio -0.317%
Kelly -0.559%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.03%42.97%42.89%45.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.232.252.3148.78%44.88%44.44%43.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.59%E -0.695%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-21 00:45
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 00:45
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-21 00:45
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.48%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.16%E -0.505%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-21 01:35
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.48%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.59%E -0.695%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.48%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 01:40
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.733%E -0.317%K -0.559%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 23:45
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 01:15
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 01:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 14:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 01:39
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.05%E -1.80%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 14:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 14:15
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 22:39
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 01:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 22:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.62%E -2.14%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 01:39
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.02%E -0.887%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 01:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.02%E -0.887%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 01:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 01:35
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 00:20
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.89%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 01:35
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.32%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.32%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.19%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 00:25
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 00:20
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:30
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 14:15
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 22:00
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 14:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.76%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 14:45
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 01:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 01:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 01:30
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.33%E -3.21%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 01:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 21:55
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:05
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -1.59%E -0.695%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 01:25
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.05%E -4.32%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 01:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -8.19%E -5.08%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.75%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 01:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.76%E -5.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.16%E -0.505%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 00:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-21 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-07-21 01:40
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-07-21 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-20 21:35
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-07-21 01:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-21 01:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-21 01:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-07-21 01:40
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%3.3%2026-07-21 01:35