La escuela de los momios

Seattle Mariners v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-07-22 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 2–4 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Predicción 51.88%1.93momio equitativo
EV -0.911%
Ventaja -0.477%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.75%51.89%53.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.07%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 48.12%2.08momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.34%48.25%48.11%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.971.962.0552.91%50.70%50.89%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.911%E -0.477%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 01:35
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.911%E -0.477%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 01:35
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.911%E -0.477%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-21 22:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.43%E -0.753%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-22 01:35
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -1.43%E -0.753%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 01:40
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.95%E -1.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-22 01:15
Everygame1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.95%E -1.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-21 23:15
BetAnything1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -1.95%E -1.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -4.24%E -2.13%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 01:25
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-22 01:39
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.61%E -3.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:40
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.35%E -0.659%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-21 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.83%E -0.899%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 22:50
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.83%E -0.899%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-21 22:50
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 01:20
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 01:24
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:35
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:35
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.99%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -3.51%E -1.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -8.57%E -4.51%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 01:40
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 17:50
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 22:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 23:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.57%E -4.51%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 01:40
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.02%E -2.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.57%E -4.51%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 01:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 01:25
DraftKings1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 01:25
Betr (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.20%E -2.64%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 15:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 23:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 14:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.72%E -2.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 01:40
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -5.06%E -2.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.05%E -4.79%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-22 01:35
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.24%E -2.13%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.58%E -3.07%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.68%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 01:25
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.35%E -0.659%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 01:25
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.80%E -1.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 23:15
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.16%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 23:15
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -7.14%E -3.99%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.61%E -3.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 01:24
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 01:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -2.31%E -1.14%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 01:25
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.35%E -0.659%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 01:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.17%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%-0.1%2026-07-22 01:39
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-07-22 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-22 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-22 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-22 01:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-22 01:25
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-22 01:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-22 01:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-22 01:40
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-07-22 01:35