Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-22 23:16 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 5–4 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 52.70%1.90odd justa
EV -0.919%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.77%52.66%54.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.821.831.8857.47%54.91%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 47.30%2.11odd justa
EV -0.676%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.614%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.88%47.23%47.34%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.72%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 52.70%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 47.30%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.11. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -0.676%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -0.919%E -0.489%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -2.57%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 22:20
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.919%E -0.489%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:24
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -0.919%E -0.489%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -4.93%E -2.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -0.919%E -0.489%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -6.82%E -3.46%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.57%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 22:20
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-22 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.46%E -2.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-22 14:09
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.45%E -0.773%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.66%E -5.06%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -0.676%E -0.322%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-22 23:15
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.09%E -1.01%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.57%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.57%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.46%E -2.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -4.46%E -2.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 22:59
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 05:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.50%E -1.35%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Caesars🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.62%E -0.780%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-22 23:14
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 23:14
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:58
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:35
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:14
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.35%E -3.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 02:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.72%E -4.52%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.08%E -2.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.88%E -2.95%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.08%E -2.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.82%E -3.46%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.08%E -2.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:04
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.61%E -2.55%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.51%E -1.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.61%E -2.55%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.46%E -2.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.46%E -2.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.93%E -2.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:14
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 22:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 04:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.30%E -3.72%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 22:19
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.14%E -2.85%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -6.19%E -3.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -0.676%E -0.322%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.19%E -3.48%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:54
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -6.72%E -3.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -9.19%E -4.79%K -9.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.24%E -4.12%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.77%E -3.98%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.77%E -4.44%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:08
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.77%E -4.44%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.04%E -1.48%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-08-22 23:15
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-08-22 23:10
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Polymarket◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-22 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-08-22 23:15
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-22 23:15
Matchbook◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-08-22 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-08-22 23:14