La scuola delle quote

Seattle Mariners v Boston Red Sox

Inizio: 2026-06-21 20:11 UTC

Finale: Seattle Mariners 3–1 Boston Red Sox

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Seattle Mariners (Casa)

Previsione 54.24%1.84quota equa
EV +0.339%
Vantaggio +0.183%
Kelly +0.399%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.18%54.20%55.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.64%56.50%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.76%2.19quota equa
EV -1.61%
Vantaggio -0.749%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.74%45.82%45.80%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.082.1550.00%48.05%48.08%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.339%E +0.183%K +0.399%G +0.001%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.36%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 19:40
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.339%E +0.183%K +0.399%G +0.001%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.36%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 20:00
Everygame1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 17:19
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 20:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 19:59
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 19:59
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 18:49
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 15:19
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 20:00
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 19:09
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 19:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.56%E -3.74%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:50
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.44%E -1.63%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 17:19
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:19
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:18
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 15:19
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 17:19
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:50
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:50
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:50
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:49
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:49
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 18:49
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 19:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:10
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 15:39
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 17:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:19
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:50
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:49
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:49
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.98%E -1.41%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 20:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 20:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-21 19:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 17:19
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 17:19
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.56%E -3.74%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 18:49
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 18:29
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-21 17:19
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -7.56%E -3.74%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 19:47
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 17:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-21 15:10
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-21 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-06-21 20:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.6%2026-06-21 20:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-21 20:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-21 20:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-21 18:30
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-06-21 15:49