Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners v Athletics

Início: 2026-04-21 01:41 UTC

Final: Seattle Mariners 4–6 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Previsão 56.55%1.77odd justa
EV -0.466%
Vantagem -0.265%
Kelly -0.613%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.23%56.52%56.57%57.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.691.701.7660.61%59.02%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 43.45%2.30odd justa
EV -0.073%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.056%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.07%43.48%43.43%45.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.182.3048.78%45.60%45.87%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Mariners (Local): 56.55%; Athletics (Visitante): 43.45%. Para Athletics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.302. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.300, com valor esperado de -0.073%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -0.466%E -0.265%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -7.89%E -3.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 01:35
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.03%E -0.590%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.03%E -0.590%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-21 01:39
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.60%E -0.918%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-21 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.60%E -0.918%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.76%E -4.17%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.16%E -1.25%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.93%E -5.33%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.73%E -1.59%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.11%E -1.40%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:54
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.073%E -0.032%K -0.056%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.606%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.38%E -0.606%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.85%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 01:24
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.29%E -1.93%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 01:30
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.942%E -0.413%K -0.736%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 01:35
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 23:49
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.85%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 01:30
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:54
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:54
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.72%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.86%E -2.27%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 14:29
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.55%E -1.60%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 23:54
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 01:25
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.16%E -2.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 01:30
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.16%E -2.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 01:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.42%E -2.62%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 01:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.99%E -2.97%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.29%E -2.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.073%E -0.032%K -0.056%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 19:04
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 15:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.56%E -3.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.12%E -3.69%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.12%E -3.69%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 22:40
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.24%E -0.998%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.69%E -4.05%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.59%E -3.06%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 01:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-04-21 01:39
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-04-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-21 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-21 01:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-20 21:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-20 19:55
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-21 01:40
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-21 01:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-04-21 00:35