L’École des cotes

Seattle Mariners v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 02:11 UTC

Score final : Seattle Mariners 5–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Mariners (Local)

Prévision 57.78%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%57.75%57.90%58.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.651.7063.69%60.57%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.22%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.777%
Avantage -0.331%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.25%42.10%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.262.262.3546.51%44.18%44.25%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.78%E -1.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 02:00
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.78%E -1.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 02:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.78%E -1.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-31 02:00
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.62%E -0.696%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 00:40
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.62%E -0.696%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-31 00:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.36%E -1.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.22%E -4.29%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 02:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.777%E -0.331%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 05:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.62%E -0.696%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 01:00
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.47%E -1.07%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 02:00
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 02:10
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.93%E -1.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 02:10
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 23:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 15:50
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 00:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.11%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 02:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.51%E -2.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.11%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 00:19
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 02:10
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.27%E -2.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 02:10
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.27%E -2.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.11%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 02:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 01:00
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 00:50
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 02:09
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 02:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 01:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 02:09
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 02:10
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:40
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.31%E -1.45%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 01:00
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 02:09
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:50
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 00:50
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 02:08
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.24%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.22%E -4.29%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 02:10
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 05:48
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 00:50
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 02:10
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 02:10
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 02:10
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.73%E -1.64%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.82%E -3.57%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 01:59
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 02:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 00:59
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.98%E -4.33%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 02:10
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.98%E -4.33%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.89%E -1.26%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 22:30
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.00%E -2.22%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 02:09
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.11%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.11%E -3.23%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-31 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-05-31 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-31 02:10
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61%0.7%2026-05-31 02:06
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-30 16:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-31 02:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-05-31 02:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-31 02:10
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-31 01:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-31 02:10