Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-06-09 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–4 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 57.91%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.913%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.56%57.94%57.93%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.7062.50%60.70%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 42.09%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.463%
Kelly -0.807%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.06%42.07%43.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.192.282.292.3545.66%43.87%43.67%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: San Francisco Giants (Local): 57.91%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 42.09%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.35, con un valor esperado de -1.09%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.55%E -0.913%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 01:29
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.93%E -0.829%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.93%E -0.829%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-09 01:20
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.93%E -0.829%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-08 22:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-09 01:19
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-09 01:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.13%E -1.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 00:49
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.71%E -1.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-09 01:39
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 21:09
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.88%E -2.16%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 01:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 21:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.29%E -1.97%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-09 01:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.87%E -2.33%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.09%E -0.463%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 01:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-09 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 22:49
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 23:23
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.88%E -2.16%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 01:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:09
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:09
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 01:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.72%E -2.55%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 23:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.93%E -0.829%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -1.93%E -0.829%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 01:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 01:19
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 01:39
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:30
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:29
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:29
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:29
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.35%E -1.01%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:29
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-08 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.40%E -3.36%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-08 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 21:09
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.04%E -1.77%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-09 01:29
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.30%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.34%E -4.59%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -7.82%E -3.57%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 01:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-09 01:39
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-09 01:39
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-09 01:39
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-09 01:39
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-09 00:30
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-09 01:39
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-06-09 01:39