La escuela de los momios

San Francisco Giants v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-07-07 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 10–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 49.19%2.03momio equitativo
EV -0.633%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.621%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.75%49.23%48.95%50.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.932.0254.05%51.82%51.81%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 50.81%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.415%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.33%50.77%51.05%52.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.901.9655.56%52.98%52.63%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.633%E -0.313%K -0.621%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 01:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.62%E -0.808%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.62%E -0.808%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:44
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.62%E -0.808%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 01:45
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.62%E -0.808%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.62%E -0.808%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 01:45
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:44
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:44
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.60%E -1.31%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 01:44
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 01:45
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.09%E -1.57%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 01:40
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.415%E -0.212%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-06 21:04
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.738%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 01:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.738%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.43%E -0.738%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 01:45
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.58%E -1.83%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.50%E -2.96%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 01:39
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 01:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 01:39
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 21:00
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 01:44
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.08%E -2.09%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.02%E -3.84%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 01:40
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 01:45
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 01:40
NordicBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:42
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.57%E -2.35%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:44
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:40
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:44
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.06%E -2.62%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 01:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.55%E -2.89%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 01:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 00:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:14
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 01:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.04%E -3.16%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.00%E -3.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 01:40
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 18:30
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.44%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -8.04%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 01:42
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 00:59
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:00
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:00
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:00
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:00
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 01:00
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.03%E -3.72%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:00
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 01:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 01:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.52%E -4.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 00:59
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.96%E -1.55%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 01:45
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.28%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 01:44
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.50%E -4.57%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 01:45
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 01:45
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.46%E -1.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 01:39
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -9.00%E -4.86%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-07 01:45
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-07 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-07 01:45
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-07-07 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-07-07 01:45
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-07-07 01:44
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.8%2026-07-07 01:45
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-07-07 01:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-07-07 01:45