Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-09-09 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 2–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 49.93%2.00odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.570%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.85%50.00%50.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.921.911.9854.05%52.06%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 50.07%2.00odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.955%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.21%50.15%50.00%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.891.901.9655.87%52.84%52.63%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 49.93%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 50.07%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.13%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.13%E -0.570%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.87%E -1.48%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 01:35
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.13%E -0.570%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 01:45
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-09 00:50
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:44
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:45
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 03:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 03:05
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 03:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 15:15
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-08 15:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 01:45
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 00:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 01:44
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 20:43
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 01:39
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:38
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 20:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 13:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 23:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 18:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 04:40
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 22:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 01:44
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:09
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:10
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:44
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 01:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -10.38%E -5.80%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 01:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 01:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 01:45
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -7.12%E -3.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 01:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 01:35
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 01:33
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 01:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-09 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-09-09 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-09-09 01:45
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-08 23:49
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-09 00:04
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-09 01:45
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-09-09 01:45
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-09-09 01:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-09 01:45
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-09-09 01:30