Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-09-09 19:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 7–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 48.36%2.07odd justa
EV -0.865%
Vantagem -0.422%
Kelly -0.824%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.48%48.36%48.40%49.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.971.962.0553.19%50.71%50.89%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 51.64%1.94odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.990%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.80%51.64%51.60%53.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.851.851.9056.18%54.05%54.05%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 48.36%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 51.64%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.07. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.05, com valor esperado de -0.865%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.865%E -0.422%K -0.824%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.08%E -4.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -1.35%E -0.661%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.91%E -1.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 17:40
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -1.88%E -0.990%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-09 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Everygame🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.40%E -1.27%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-09 17:17
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.32%E -1.15%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-09 17:20
Bovada🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 17:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 17:14
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 17:14
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 17:14
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 17:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:15
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:29
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 14:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.28%E -1.64%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.25%E -2.15%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.73%E -2.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.05%E -3.91%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.22%E -2.66%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.98%E -2.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.43%E -1.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -2.92%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.18%E -3.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.01%E -3.30%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.67%E -3.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 17:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.46%E -2.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.50%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -9.09%E -4.83%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.56%E -4.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 14:10
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-09 14:10
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-09-09 17:35
BetOpenly◎2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%2.5%2026-09-09 17:35