Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-06 19:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 1–5 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 50.93%1.96odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.34%50.91%51.05%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.891.881.9454.64%52.98%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 49.07%2.04odd justa
EV -0.875%
Vantagem -0.433%
Kelly -0.858%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.09%48.95%50.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.931.932.0253.48%51.80%51.81%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 50.93%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 49.07%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.875%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.20%E -0.618%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -1.20%E -0.618%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -1.20%E -0.618%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -1.20%E -0.618%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -7.25%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:14
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.71%E -0.885%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.22%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-06 19:40
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 19:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 18:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 19:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 19:45
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 19:45
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 19:40
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.875%E -0.433%K -0.858%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 19:40
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.75%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.26%E -2.26%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 19:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:40
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:44
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 18:35
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.27%E -2.84%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.74%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 19:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:43
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 19:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.28%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 19:44
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.78%E -3.13%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.76%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 19:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.29%E -3.42%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.80%E -2.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 19:39
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.928%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 19:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-06 19:45
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-06 19:40
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-05-06 19:45
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-06 19:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-06 19:45
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-05-06 19:45
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%3.4%2026-05-06 19:44