Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-09-12 20:06 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 37.79%2.65odd justa
EV +3.18%
Vantagem +1.16%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.058%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.92%37.71%37.82%40.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.522.502.7342.55%39.73%40.00%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 62.21%1.61odd justa
EV -0.471%
Vantagem -0.294%
Kelly -0.785%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.80%62.29%62.18%64.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.531.531.6067.11%65.24%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 37.79%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 62.21%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.65. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.73, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.18%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +3.18%E +1.16%K +1.84%G +0.058%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +0.911%E +0.341%K +0.545%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +0.911%E +0.341%K +0.545%G +0.005%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-12 19:55
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV +0.155%E +0.058%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-12 19:55
BetAnything🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -0.601%E -0.229%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.96%E -1.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:50
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 19:50
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.73%E -0.667%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 20:05
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.49%E -0.965%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.49%E -0.965%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:50
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.49%E -0.965%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.49%E -0.965%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 19:58
SportsBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 19:55
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -3.25%E -1.27%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 19:57
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.45%E -3.58%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.62%E -1.42%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.96%E -1.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 14:45
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 16:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.07%E -4.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.51%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 19:09
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.27%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:44
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.65%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.45%E -3.58%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 20:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.58%E -2.31%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.20%E -2.73%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:05
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.83%E -3.15%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.45%E -3.58%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.45%E -3.58%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.40%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.31%E -4.91%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.45%E -3.58%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 20:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:54
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.69%E -4.46%K -13.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 19:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.29%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.31%E -4.91%K -14.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 20:05
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -10.05%E -4.22%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -0.471%E -0.294%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.18%E -4.76%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.34%E -1.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-09-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-12 20:05
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-12 19:55
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-12 20:05
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-09-12 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-09-12 20:05
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-09-12 20:05
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-09-12 20:05
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-09-12 19:55
BetOpenly2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.5%2026-09-12 19:55