Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-05-10 01:06 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–13 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 49.96%2.00odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%49.95%50.00%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9654.05%52.34%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 50.04%2.00odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.723%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.05%50.00%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.911.911.9753.76%52.33%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 49.96%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 50.04%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.42%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.92%E -0.982%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 00:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 00:24
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 00:24
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.08%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 00:44
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.42%E -0.723%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.42%E -1.24%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-09 19:34
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:14
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.58%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:28
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.07%E -1.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 23:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 17:59
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.43%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 23:29
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:04
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:39
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 17:59
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 20:03
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 01:04
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:04
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:24
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 18:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.59%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.93%E -3.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.07%E -3.23%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.93%E -3.72%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.43%E -1.77%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-05-10 01:04
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 49.25%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.75%0.0%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-10 01:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-05-10 01:04
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-10 01:05
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.3%2026-05-10 01:04
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-10 01:04
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-05-10 01:05
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%2.6%2026-05-10 00:54