Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-25 02:16 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 48.67%2.05odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.837%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%48.62%48.68%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.861.951.952.0253.76%51.20%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 51.33%1.95odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.751%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.38%51.32%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.861.871.9256.82%53.65%53.48%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 48.67%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 51.33%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.95. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.92, com valor esperado de -1.44%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.69%E -0.837%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.98%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 01:35
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.18%E -1.08%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.96%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 01:29
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.96%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 20:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 20:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 21:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.44%E -0.751%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.44%E -0.751%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 20:24
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.44%E -0.751%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 20:24
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.44%E -0.751%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-23 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:34
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:54
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:54
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 01:09
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 01:26
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:24
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:19
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 00:33
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.14%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 02:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.52%E -2.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 03:10
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:19
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -2.98%E -1.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.02%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:04
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.07%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 00:39
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 02:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.02%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:34
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -3.96%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -8.12%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.48%E -5.10%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.66%E -5.49%K -12.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 00:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%0.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-23 22:15
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%4.0%2026-04-24 03:30