La escuela de los momios

San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-04-23 19:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 0–3 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 41.75%2.40momio equitativo
EV -0.639%
Ventaja -0.269%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.35%41.81%41.77%43.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.3846.51%43.72%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.25%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.73%58.19%58.23%59.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.651.6962.50%60.81%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.639%E -0.269%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:39
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.89%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 19:09
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.89%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 19:30
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.89%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:34
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:34
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.805%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 13:54
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.31%E -0.987%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 19:43
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.55%E -0.920%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 18:44
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 19:10
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.73%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 19:10
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 19:39
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:00
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:38
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 19:00
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 19:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:35
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:58
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:29
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 17:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 19:34
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:40
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:39
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 00:39
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 02:54
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:34
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 19:39
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 19:39
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 19:44
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.23%E -2.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.23%E -2.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 19:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:59
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 18:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:39
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 18:59
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:39
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:44
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 19:44
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.24%E -4.76%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.47%E -2.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 19:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-04-23 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-23 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-23 19:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-04-23 19:34
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-23 19:45
BetOpenly2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-04-23 19:39
ProphetX2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-23 19:44
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-04-23 19:45
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-04-23 19:45
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.3%2026-04-23 19:39