Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-09-27 19:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 31.76%3.15momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.513%
Kelly +0.746%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.13%31.76%31.82%34.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.71%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 68.24%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.729%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.88%68.24%68.18%69.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.30%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Francisco Giants (Local): 31.76%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 68.24%. Para San Francisco Giants (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.15. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.64%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.64%E +0.513%K +0.746%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 11:10
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.054%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 06:40
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.054%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 10:38
SportsBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -0.264%E -0.084%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.52%E -4.76%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 07:10
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-27 13:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 06:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 06:55
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 12:15
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 09:10
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.53%E -0.495%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:10
888sport🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.20%E -5.29%K -19.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.20%E -5.29%K -19.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.20%E -5.29%K -19.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 06:44
Coolbet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.15%E -3.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:40
BetUS🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV -4.08%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-27 12:35
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.10%E -2.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 12:14
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.79%E -2.69%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 13:00
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.79%E -2.69%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 13:14
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 06:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 13:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 07:25
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 12:10
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 12:40
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-27 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.15%E -3.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:59
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.52%E -4.76%K -17.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-27 12:15
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 12:58
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:59
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 12:58
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.30%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.15%E -3.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 12:11
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.10%E -2.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 13:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:35
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:59
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.47%E -3.19%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 12:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -7.89%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.15%E -3.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:24
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:24
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:24
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:24
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -2.42%E -1.69%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.10%E -2.19%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.79%E -2.69%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.79%E -2.69%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 13:25
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.06%E -0.729%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.06%E -0.729%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.83%E -4.23%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-27 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.20%E -5.29%K -19.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-27 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%0.4%2026-09-27 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-09-27 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-09-27 13:30
Polymarket◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-27 10:00
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-09-27 08:15
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-09-27 10:05
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-09-27 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%2.2%2026-09-27 13:20
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%5.3%2026-09-27 13:15