默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-26 19:46 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

San Francisco Giants (主队)

预测 50.78%1.97公平赔率
EV -0.477%
优势 -0.243%
Kelly -0.497%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.76%50.79%51.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.881.881.9656.18%53.31%53.33%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cincinnati Reds (客队)

预测 49.22%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.06%
优势 -0.528%
Kelly -1.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
48.41%49.24%49.21%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.931.932.0154.35%51.75%51.81%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:San Francisco Giants (主队):50.78%;Cincinnati Reds (客队):49.22%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为1.96,期望值为-0.477%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.477%E -0.243%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 18:19
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 19:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.00%E -1.04%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 19:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.55%E -0.777%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 20:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.02%E -1.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:05
Caesars🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.06%E -0.528%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 19:42
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.52%E -1.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:13
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.03%E -2.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 18:49
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 19:44
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.00%E -2.59%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 19:39
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.54%E -2.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 19:39
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 20:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:38
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.51%E -2.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 20:38
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.05%E -2.70%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.55%E -2.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.49%E -2.86%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 19:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.55%E -2.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 19:42
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:38
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 20:39
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:38
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:38
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.06%E -3.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.98%E -3.13%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 19:44
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.08%E -3.87%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 19:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -8.09%E -4.47%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -8.45%E -4.54%K -9.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.62%E -5.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.43%E -5.12%K -11.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 19:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-08-25 20:55
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-25 21:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-25 19:34
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%9.9%2026-08-25 20:49
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%10.2%2026-08-25 19:40