Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-26 01:46 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–1 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Previsão 50.44%1.98odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.842%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.74%50.39%50.51%51.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.901.901.9555.25%52.76%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 49.56%2.02odd justa
EV -0.879%
Vantagem -0.440%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.85%49.61%49.49%50.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.931.922.0053.48%51.83%52.08%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Francisco Giants (Local): 50.44%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 49.56%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.02. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.879%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.64%E -0.842%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 12:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.64%E -0.842%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%EV -2.15%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%EV -1.37%E -0.691%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.15%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 13:49
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.15%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 06:30
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.15%E -1.11%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 01:29
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 21:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 21:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 21:44
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.87%E -0.945%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-25 22:04
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 22:08
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 12:23
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.16%E -1.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.879%E -0.440%K -0.879%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-25 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-25 22:14
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-26 01:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -2.86%E -1.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-25 22:14
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-25 19:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 17:49
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 19:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 15:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 16:03
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 16:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 20:34
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 23:47
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 20:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:54
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 16:03
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:18
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 02:24
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.85%E -1.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 17:19
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 22:00
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.35%E -2.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 21:59
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 01:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 01:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-25 04:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 23:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.18%E -3.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 01:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 22:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 01:43
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.69%E -3.61%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 01:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.19%E -3.91%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 01:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.70%E -4.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 01:19
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.70%E -4.81%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -7.32%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 22:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-26 01:44
BetOpenly◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-26 01:19
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.99%0.5%2026-08-26 01:44
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-25 06:24
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-26 01:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-26 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-26 01:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-26 01:24
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-25 20:39
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-26 01:19