La escuela de los momios

San Francisco Giants v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-06-28 20:06 UTC

Final: San Francisco Giants 3–2 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 38.01%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.401%
Ventaja -0.153%
Kelly -0.247%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.02%37.97%39.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6242.55%40.11%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 61.99%1.61momio equitativo
EV -0.204%
Ventaja -0.127%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%61.98%62.03%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.57%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.401%E -0.153%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 18:59
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-28 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 19:00
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 18:59
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 19:19
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 19:19
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.16%E -0.447%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 19:00
Caesars2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.92%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:09
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -2.68%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.44%E -0.908%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 19:39
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 18:18
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 19:59
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 19:00
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.40%E -4.24%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.06%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 18:09
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.44%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-28 19:39
MyBookie.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.44%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 19:28
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.44%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:58
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 18:09
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 18:49
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.20%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 19:50
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.20%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:49
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.20%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:39
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 19:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:09
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 19:59
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 18:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 18:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:29
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 18:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.96%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 19:09
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:09
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.72%E -2.31%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 19:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -0.204%E -0.127%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-28 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:10
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 19:58
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -7.62%E -3.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -0.824%E -0.515%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -7.62%E -3.14%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -0.824%E -0.515%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 19:29
Betclic (FR)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.38%E -3.48%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 19:38
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.06%E -1.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:29
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.06%E -1.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:29
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:30
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:29
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:29
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:30
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:29
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:29
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 19:39
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.66%E -4.54%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-06-28 20:00
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%0.3%2026-06-28 19:30
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-06-28 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-28 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-28 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-06-28 19:50
Polymarket2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-06-28 19:10
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-06-28 19:19
BetOpenly2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-06-28 19:49
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.6%2026-06-28 19:59