Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-29 20:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Francisco Giants (Local)

Predicción 50.65%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.721%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.752%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.47%50.73%50.53%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.871.861.9657.14%53.59%53.76%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 49.35%2.03momio equitativo
EV -0.318%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.27%49.47%50.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.19%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Francisco Giants (Local): 50.65%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 49.35%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.03. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.02, con un valor esperado de -0.318%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.721%E -0.368%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 13:44
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.721%E -0.368%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 13:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.23%E -0.630%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 13:49
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.24%E -1.16%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 13:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.75%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -0.811%E -0.404%K -0.803%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 12:30
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:44
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:40
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 13:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 13:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.25%E -2.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.76%E -1.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:44
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:44
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.25%E -2.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:44
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.25%E -2.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.77%E -2.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:45
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.28%E -2.82%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 13:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.24%E -3.28%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.79%E -3.11%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.23%E -3.84%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.77%E -1.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.29%E -3.40%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.318%E -0.157%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.318%E -0.157%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.318%E -0.157%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.31%E -3.99%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -0.318%E -0.157%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 12:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:10
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.81%E -4.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 12:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.32%E -4.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 12:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.83%E -4.90%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.30%E -0.652%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -9.33%E -5.21%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:10
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -11.36%E -6.49%K -15.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -4.76%E -2.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-29 13:50
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-08-29 13:55