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San Diego Padres v Toronto Blue Jays
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
San Diego Padres (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.10%2.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.81%
Преимущество -0.925%
Kelly -1.89%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.96
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.95%50.07%50.00%51.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.841.911.911.9654.35%52.49%52.36%51.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Toronto Blue Jays (Гости)
Прогноз 49.90%2.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.69%
Преимущество -0.857%
Kelly -1.74%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.95%49.93%50.00%51.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.861.921.911.9753.76%52.21%52.36%50.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: San Diego Padres (Хозяева): 50.10%; Toronto Blue Jays (Гости): 49.90%. Для исхода «Toronto Blue Jays (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.00. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.97, математическое ожидание — -1.69%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.925%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 00:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.19%E -1.12%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.857%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -1.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-11 23:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.32%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -4.82%E -2.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.32%E -2.81%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -3.01%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.68%E -1.91%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.82%E -3.10%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.18%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.18%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 00:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -7.82%E -4.25%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 00:38 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.25% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.75% | 0.0% | 2026-07-12 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.51% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49% | 1.5% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-07-12 00:35 |