A Escola das Odds

San Diego Padres v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-05-10 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–2 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 54.32%1.84odd justa
EV +0.490%
Vantagem +0.265%
Kelly +0.576%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.24%54.26%55.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8558.82%56.58%56.50%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 45.68%2.19odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.70%45.76%45.74%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.102.1650.00%47.95%47.62%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +0.490%E +0.265%K +0.576%G +0.003%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:09
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -0.054%E -0.029%K -0.064%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -4.98%E -2.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-10 20:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -0.597%E -0.326%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -3.61%E -1.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 19:49
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.597%E -0.326%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -0.597%E -0.326%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -4.53%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 20:04
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.14%E -0.626%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 19:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.68%E -0.930%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 18:49
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.33%E -0.615%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-10 15:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 19:44
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 20:08
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.23%E -1.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.64%E -4.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.77%E -1.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.98%E -2.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.77%E -1.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.77%E -1.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 18:49
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:45
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:45
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:45
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:44
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:43
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:44
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.90%E -2.86%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 18:44
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.31%E -1.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 19:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 19:39
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 15:38
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 18:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 20:08
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 20:09
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:45
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:45
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.86%E -2.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:44
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.16%E -1.49%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 19:44
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 06:59
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.40%E -2.50%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.44%E -2.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 07:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.79%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 18:54
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 20:09
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:04
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.94%E -2.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.98%E -2.40%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 17:59
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.79%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 18:54
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:44
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:43
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.49%E -3.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.53%E -2.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:19
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 18:53
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 15:34
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 23:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.03%E -3.48%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 17:43
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.57%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.57%E -3.82%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.66%E -4.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.07%E -1.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.66%E -4.50%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.35%E -3.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 18:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-10 19:54
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-05-10 19:49
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-05-10 20:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-10 20:09
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-05-10 20:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-10 20:04
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-10 20:09