Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v San Francisco Giants

2026-08-01 01:46 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 57.23%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.907%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.26%57.22%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7263.69%60.19%60.06%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 42.77%2.34momio equitativo
EV +0.504%
Ventaja +0.214%
Kelly +0.373%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.74%42.78%43.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.62%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: San Diego Padres (Local): 57.23%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 42.77%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.34. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.504%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.504%E +0.214%K +0.373%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-31 11:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.352%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.352%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 11:14
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -0.352%E -0.151%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 11:14
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.70%E -1.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -1.21%E -0.523%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 12:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.63%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-31 13:04
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.63%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 09:55
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.63%E -0.711%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 09:20
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.06%E -0.901%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 12:59
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.56%E -0.907%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 09:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-31 09:49
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.28%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-31 10:15
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 09:55
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 12:33
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 13:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 13:04
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 13:05
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 09:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 09:54
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 13:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 11:54
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 11:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 10:59
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 11:04
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:05
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:09
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:09
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:09
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 11:54
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:09
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 13:10
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.77%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 13:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 09:49
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 12:30
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 11:54
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 09:54
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-31 12:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:59
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:55
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.48%E -2.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 09:45
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 08:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 09:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 12:34
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 13:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:15
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.99%E -3.01%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 12:30
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 09:49
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 12:33
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 12:33
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.57%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 12:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.14%E -6.46%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 13:00
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.14%E -3.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.28%E -4.50%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 12:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-07-31 13:19
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-07-31 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-31 13:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-31 13:40
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-07-31 13:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-31 09:00
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-31 08:55
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-31 13:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-31 12:30