Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-08-26 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 0–1 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 55.00%1.82odd justa
EV +0.653%
Vantagem +0.357%
Kelly +0.787%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.99%55.10%56.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.56%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 45.00%2.22odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.554%
Kelly +0.997%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.61%45.01%44.90%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.02%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.00%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 45.00%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.25%E +0.554%K +0.997%G +0.012%1.9%2026-08-26 01:24
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.25%E +0.554%K +0.997%G +0.012%1.9%2026-08-26 01:23
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.20%E -1.82%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.104%E -0.047%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-25 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.104%E -0.047%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-26 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.104%E -0.047%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-26 01:24
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.554%E -0.251%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:24
BetAnything🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -0.554%E -0.251%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 23:45
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.00%E -0.456%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.00%E -0.456%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 00:44
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.10%E -1.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.45%E -0.664%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 00:29
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.20%E -1.82%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -0.447%E -0.247%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-25 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 00:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 23:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 00:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 00:44
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 01:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 00:48
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.15%E -4.88%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.25%E -1.51%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 00:39
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 01:39
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 01:35
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.70%E -1.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 00:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.15%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 23:29
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.653%E +0.357%K +0.787%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-25 22:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -2.10%E -1.18%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-25 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 00:49
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:34
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:39
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-25 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:09
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.60%E -2.17%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.05%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 01:39
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.65%E -1.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 23:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 00:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 00:44
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 23:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.50%E -3.82%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.50%E -2.62%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.40%E -3.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.20%E -1.82%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 01:28
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.30%E -2.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 01:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.85%E -2.80%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.40%E -3.14%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.75%E -3.78%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 23:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -7.60%E -4.52%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -8.20%E -4.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 00:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -5.95%E -3.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.72%EV -8.65%E -4.26%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-26 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.75%E -2.14%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.00%E -5.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 01:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-26 01:35
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-25 23:54
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-25 23:39
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 01:39
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 01:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-26 01:24
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-08-26 01:19
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-08-26 01:39