Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-08-23 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 8–1 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 58.45%1.71odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%58.38%58.31%59.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.641.651.6862.50%60.95%60.61%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 41.55%2.41odd justa
EV +0.140%
Vantagem +0.058%
Kelly +0.100%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.45%41.62%41.69%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.292.302.4146.51%43.61%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 58.45%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 41.55%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.407. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.410, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.140%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%EV +0.140%E +0.058%K +0.100%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-23 19:44
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.140%E +0.058%K +0.100%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.275%E -0.115%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 20:09
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.691%E -0.289%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.11%E -0.465%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.11%E -0.465%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:35
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.52%E -0.642%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-23 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.52%E -0.642%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:34
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.52%E -0.642%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.94%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-23 19:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.94%E -0.821%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 20:08
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 19:29
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 19:36
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.35%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:34
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-23 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.19%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.81%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 20:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 19:48
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 18:14
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.15%E -2.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 19:54
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 19:54
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:54
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:53
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.85%E -2.12%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.98%E -1.79%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.26%E -2.31%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 19:29
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:24
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:09
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:35
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:35
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 17:34
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.15%E -2.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.15%E -2.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 19:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 19:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 17:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.42%E -4.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:03
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.66%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-08-23 20:09
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-23 20:10
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-23 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-23 20:10
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-23 20:09
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-23 19:29
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-23 19:29
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-23 20:09