Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-08-11 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Previsão 46.75%2.14odd justa
EV -0.416%
Vantagem -0.195%
Kelly -0.368%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%46.88%46.75%48.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.052.1351.28%49.05%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.25%1.88odd justa
EV -0.961%
Vantagem -0.517%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.12%53.25%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.801.801.8657.80%55.66%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: San Diego Padres (Local): 46.75%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 53.25%. Para San Diego Padres (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -0.416%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%EV -0.416%E -0.195%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-10 22:29
Caesars🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.416%E -0.195%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-11 01:04
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.35%E -0.640%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 01:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.866%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.866%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.82%E -0.866%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:30
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.29%E -1.09%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 01:25
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.75%E -1.32%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 01:19
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.961%E -0.517%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 01:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 01:19
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 22:35
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.22%E -1.56%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 01:39
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 19:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:09
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:30
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 00:59
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:19
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:09
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 22:24
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:59
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:59
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 01:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 00:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 01:39
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 22:14
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:39
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 01:40
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.49%E -0.807%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 00:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 23:14
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.88%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 22:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.35%E -4.22%K -9.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 01:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 01:39
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.36%E -4.27%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.88%E -4.56%K -10.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 01:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 01:39
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 01:33
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 01:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-11 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-11 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-11 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-11 01:35
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-10 13:55
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-11 01:40
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-08-11 01:40
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-08-11 01:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-08-11 01:25
BetOpenly◎2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%4.4%2026-08-11 01:30