La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-05-20 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 4–5 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 39.88%2.51momio equitativo
EV -0.297%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.60%39.91%39.85%40.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.402.402.5043.48%41.70%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.12%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.857%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.14%60.09%60.15%61.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.591.591.6464.94%63.03%62.89%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.297%E -0.119%K -0.198%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 01:39
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.695%E -0.279%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.695%E -0.279%K -0.467%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 01:39
BetAnything2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.09%E -0.441%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 00:59
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.89%E -0.769%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 00:50
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.89%E -0.769%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 01:39
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 01:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 01:19
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.29%E -0.935%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.42%E -4.82%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 01:29
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.41%E -0.857%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 01:34
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 01:29
DraftKings2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.09%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 01:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 01:39
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 00:29
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 00:29
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 23:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 01:08
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 00:29
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 00:29
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 01:19
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 01:19
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 01:19
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 01:19
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.82%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 00:29
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.28%E -1.79%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.82%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 01:39
MyBookie.ag2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -4.68%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 00:29
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 01:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 01:19
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.48%E -2.31%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 01:38
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.88%E -2.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.61%E -1.61%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 01:39
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.88%E -2.49%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 01:38
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 22:59
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 00:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 01:10
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 00:29
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.81%E -2.38%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 00:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.41%E -2.77%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 00:29
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.01%E -3.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 00:29
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 01:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.28%E -2.67%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.21%E -3.98%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 01:39
SportsBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.08%E -3.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Betsson2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.08%E -3.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
NordicBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.08%E -3.04%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.21%E -1.99%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 01:39
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 01:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.61%E -3.58%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 00:29
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.27%E -3.60%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.82%E -4.40%K -12.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 01:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-20 01:39
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%0.8%2026-05-20 01:39
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-20 00:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-19 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-05-20 01:39
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-05-20 01:10
BetOpenly2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%2.4%2026-05-20 01:10