La escuela de los momios

San Diego Padres v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-06-28 20:11 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Diego Padres (Local)

Predicción 44.69%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.561%
Ventaja +0.249%
Kelly +0.448%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.67%44.76%44.73%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.31%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 55.31%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%55.24%55.27%57.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.711.711.7861.35%58.37%58.31%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.561%E +0.249%K +0.448%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-28 20:00
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.561%E +0.249%K +0.448%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -7.09%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:59
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV +0.561%E +0.249%K +0.448%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -7.09%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:59
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 19:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 19:59
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 20:00
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 20:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 20:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 19:59
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 20:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 19:59
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.23%E -0.555%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 19:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-28 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 07:40
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.53%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-28 20:09
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 05:09
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.12%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 19:29
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.12%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 19:30
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.12%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-28 19:59
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 20:00
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:20
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -9.85%E -6.04%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 19:59
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 19:56
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 19:58
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 11:59
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 20:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 19:18
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 20:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:49
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:19
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:20
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 18:48
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 19:19
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 19:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 07:49
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 17:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 20:09
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 20:09
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 11:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 11:59
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 11:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 19:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 20:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 17:09
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 19:59
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 20:09
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.59%E -3.15%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 20:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.04%E -3.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 20:09
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.09%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 19:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 20:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 20:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 19:58
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-28 20:00
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-28 19:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-28 20:10
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-28 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-28 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-28 20:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-06-28 19:59
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-06-28 20:10
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-06-28 20:10
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-06-28 20:10